Projection

ISTAT's population projection for the municipality (median scenario).

A projection by ISTAT (median scenario, base 1 January 2025), not a forecast of ours. It shows what happens if births, deaths and moves develop as ISTAT assumes.

Residents according to the projection

The solid line shows the actual number of residents, the dashed line the projection.

Residents (actual)Residents (projection)provisional values (dashed)projection (dashed)

Show table

Projection by year
								Status
1 January 2050	44,264	21,665	22,599	49.3	11.5	56.7	31.8	projection
1 January 2049	44,251	21,659	22,592	49.2	11.5	56.7	31.8	projection
1 January 2048	44,227	21,647	22,580	49.1	11.4	56.9	31.7	projection
1 January 2047	44,192	21,628	22,564	49.0	11.4	57.1	31.5	projection
1 January 2046	44,147	21,604	22,543	48.8	11.4	57.2	31.4	projection
1 January 2045	44,093	21,574	22,519	48.7	11.4	57.4	31.2	projection
1 January 2044	44,032	21,539	22,493	48.6	11.4	57.6	31.0	projection
1 January 2043	43,965	21,501	22,464	48.4	11.4	57.7	30.9	projection
1 January 2042	43,893	21,460	22,433	48.3	11.4	57.9	30.6	projection
1 January 2041	43,817	21,416	22,401	48.1	11.5	58.2	30.4	projection
1 January 2040	43,737	21,369	22,368	48.0	11.5	58.4	30.1	projection
1 January 2039	43,654	21,320	22,334	47.8	11.5	58.8	29.6	projection
1 January 2038	43,568	21,270	22,298	47.6	11.6	59.1	29.3	projection
1 January 2037	43,479	21,218	22,261	47.5	11.7	59.5	28.8	projection
1 January 2036	43,387	21,165	22,222	47.3	11.9	59.8	28.4	projection
1 January 2035	43,290	21,109	22,181	47.1	12.0	60.1	27.9	projection
1 January 2034	43,185	21,050	22,135	47.0	12.1	60.6	27.3	projection
1 January 2033	43,071	20,987	22,084	46.8	12.4	60.8	26.8	projection
1 January 2032	42,946	20,919	22,027	46.6	12.5	61.2	26.2	projection
1 January 2031	42,810	20,847	21,963	46.5	12.7	61.6	25.7	projection
1 January 2030	42,654	20,762	21,892	46.3	12.9	61.8	25.2	projection
1 January 2029	42,468	20,663	21,805	46.1	13.1	62.2	24.7	projection
1 January 2028	42,258	20,551	21,707	46.0	13.3	62.4	24.2	projection
1 January 2027	42,027	20,429	21,598	45.8	13.5	62.6	23.9	projection
1 January 2026	41,774	20,297	21,477	45.6	13.7	62.8	23.6	projection
1 January 2025	41,498	20,154	21,344	45.5	13.9	62.8	23.3	projection

Source: ISTAT – Municipal projections (age and sex), Municipal projections (indicators) · Licence: CC BY 4.0 · values selected and rearranged, not changed

as of 1 January each year · retrieved 03/11/2026, 15:40 · updated 03/11/2026, 15:44 · shares and sums: own calculation

Download CSV (projections.csv)

Age groups in the projection

Shares of the age groups (own calculation from ISTAT's five-year groups) and the mean age as calculated by ISTAT.

0–14 years15–64 years65 and overprojection (dashed)

Mean age according to ISTAT (years)

Mean age according to ISTAT (years)projection (dashed)

Pyramid in the projection

Year (filled)Comparison year (outline)

95+

90-94

85-89

80-84

75-79

70-74

65-69

60-64

55-59

50-54

45-49

40-44

35-39

30-34

25-29

20-24

15-19

10-14

5-9

0-4

1 January 2050 (projection)1 January 2025 (projection)

Residents by age group and sex: 1 January 2050 (projection) and 1 January 2025 (projection)
Age	Men 1 January 2050	Women 1 January 2050	Men 1 January 2025	Women 1 January 2025
0-4	841	807	860	835
5-9	860	845	997	996
10-14	869	862	1,056	1,024
15-19	930	902	1,180	1,051
20-24	1,064	979	1,252	1,003
25-29	1,168	1,058	1,158	989
30-34	1,308	1,199	1,108	1,067
35-39	1,392	1,278	1,194	1,210
40-44	1,472	1,350	1,297	1,272
45-49	1,466	1,353	1,294	1,432
50-54	1,392	1,356	1,538	1,658
55-59	1,310	1,387	1,660	1,721
60-64	1,295	1,426	1,488	1,502
65-69	1,321	1,420	1,056	1,200
70-74	1,270	1,495	845	1,083
75-79	1,353	1,608	846	1,159
80-84	1,229	1,501	717	1,029
85-89	790	1,063	410	691
90-94	279	511	170	317
95+	55	199	28	105

Source: ISTAT – Municipal projections (age and sex), Municipal projections (indicators) · Licence: CC BY 4.0 · values selected and rearranged, not changed

as of 1 January each year · retrieved 03/11/2026, 15:40 · updated 03/11/2026, 15:44 · shares and sums: own calculation

Download CSV (projections.csv)Download CSV (projections-age-groups.csv)